A group of academic experts keeping watch over the coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic warned on Monday that there are signs of another possible surge in Covid-19 cases in Metro Manila amid the coming holidays.
In its latest report dated December 21 using available data on Covid-19 cases, the OCTA Research Team said a “surge in its early stages has already started” and that the “period of the declining trend in cases observed in the National Capital Region (NCR) in the past few months has now ended,” in effect sounding the alarm of a possible surge in Covid cases in Metro Manila.
“The trend has been reversed with significant positive growth in new cases observed in the region,” the OCTA Research Team said.
“It is in this light that we believe, based on our analysis of the data and of the past trends in the NCR, that a surge in its early stages has already started in the region. This is a serious cause for concern,” the group added.
OCTA Research said the reproduction rate of Covid-19 cases in Metro Manila increased from 1.06 to 1.15 from December 14 to 20 with the region still the epicenter of the pandemic in the country.
The group, however, said that the surge in Covid-19 cases in Metro Manila was in the “nascent” stage and can still be reversed or mitigated.
Among the measures the group recommended to stop the possible surge of Covid-19 cases in Metro Manila are “more aggressive and effective localized lockdowns with stricter border controls.”
It also warned that “there is evidence from Europe and North America that increased social mixing among households are driving the second wave of Covid-19 in these parts of the world.” SOVEREIGNPH