Thu. Oct 28th, 2021

There is still a possibility that Covid-19 cases in the National Capital Region (NCR) will reach new peaks, according to OCTA Research.

Shoppers crowd a market in Marikina City on Monday Morning March 15, 2021 amid the rise of COVID-19 in the country. A group of expert sees the country may face 8,000 new cases daily by the end of the month. (Photo Courtesy: Rappler.com)

“Early indications are that the surge may have already peaked in the NCR (National Capital Region). The reproduction number decreased to 1.22, while the positivity rate decreased to 24 percent,” OCTA senior fellow Guido David said over Twitter.

The reproduction number represents the average number of people infected by a person infected with Covid-19, and the positivity rate is the percentage of people found positive for the virus from a group that was tested.

“Due to backlog, expect that there will be days when cases could still (be a spike). Efforts must be sustained because trends may still reverse, i.e. cases may increase again if care is not taken,” David added.

According to Department of Health (DOH) records, the NCR currently has 52,561 active Covid-19 cases.

Nationwide, the DOH is also not discounting a further surge in Covid-19 cases, with new cases on Thursday and Friday breaching the 20,000-mark.

To arrest the surge of Covid-19 cases, the government has resorted to a policy of localized or granular lockdowns, and is aiming to vaccinate at least 90 percent of the population by early 2022.

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